Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:39·JAX 0, HOU 7

   (9:39) 9-D.Garrard pass short right intended for 80-J.Porter INTERCEPTED by 35-J.Reeves at HOU 39. 35-J.Reeves to JAX 48 for 13 yards (80-J.Porter).

   +12pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 9:49·JAX 0, HOU 7

   (9:49) 18-S.Rosenfels pass short right intended for 80-A.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 27-R.Mathis at HOU 48. 27-R.Mathis to HOU 44 for 4 yards (83-K.Walter).

   +11pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q1 · 4:17·JAX 0, HOU 10

   (4:17) 32-M.Jones-Drew right guard to JAX 29 for no gain (66-Deljuan Robinson). FUMBLES (66-Deljuan Robinson), RECOVERED by HOU-25-N.Ferguson at JAX 28. 25-N.Ferguson to JAX 28 for no gain (69-K.Barnes).

   +8pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q4 · 14:09·JAX 3, HOU 16

   (14:09) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 18-M.Jones pushed ob at HOU 6 for 27 yards (26-E.Wilson).

   +7pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 12:04·JAX 0, HOU 6

   (12:04) 18-S.Rosenfels pass deep left to 80-A.Johnson for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   HOU