Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:29·JAX 14, HOU 20

   10-J.Scobee kicks 67 yards from JAX 30 to HOU 3. 11-A.Davis for 97 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q1 · 0:21·JAX 7, HOU 0

   (:21) 1-M.Turk punts 39 yards to JAX 7, Center-48-B.Pittman. 84-C.Owens MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by HOU-11-A.Davis at JAX 7. 11-A.Davis to JAX 6 for 1 yard (84-C.Owens). (Punt hang time 3.9 seconds.)

   +13pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q3 · 15:00·JAX 14, HOU 27

   10-J.Scobee kicks 74 yards from JAX 30 to HOU -4. 11-A.Davis for 104 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q2 · 3:26·JAX 7, HOU 13

   (3:26) 18-S.Rosenfels pass short left to 81-O.Daniels for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q1 · 11:26·JAX 0, HOU 0

   (11:26) 5-Q.Gray pass short right to 19-E.Wilford pushed ob at HOU 46 for 4 yards (34-V.Hutchins).

   +7pp

   JAX