Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 13:39·HOU 27, JAX 27

   (13:39) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep left to 18-M.Jones to HOU 41 for 24 yards (35-J.Reeves).

   +26pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:27·HOU 24, JAX 20

   (2:27) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard scrambles up the middle to HOU 9 for 9 yards (34-D.Barber).

   +21pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 7:11·HOU 23, JAX 20

   (7:11) 8-M.Schaub pass short left to 83-K.Walter for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q1 · 8:47·HOU 0, JAX 6

   (8:47) 24-M.Owens up the middle for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Direct snap to JJ24.

   +16pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q5 · 12:53·HOU 27, JAX 27

   (12:53) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 33-G.Jones to HOU 19 for 22 yards (25-N.Ferguson).

   +15pp

   JAX