Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:10·JAX 31, HOU 24

   (2:10) 22-C.Brown right guard to JAX 1 for 1 yard (52-D.Smith). FUMBLES (52-D.Smith), RECOVERED by JAX-52-D.Smith at JAX 0. Touchback. Houston challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 02:00.)

   +32pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q2 · 3:56·JAX 16, HOU 14

   (3:56) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 61 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q4 · 14:20·JAX 30, HOU 24

   (14:20) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q3 · 12:07·JAX 17, HOU 21

   (12:07) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right to 11-M.Sims-Walker pushed ob at HOU 19 for 28 yards (40-J.Busing).

   +15pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 4:36·JAX 31, HOU 24

   (4:36) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 11-M.Sims-Walker to JAX 49 for 9 yards (23-D.Robinson). FUMBLES (23-D.Robinson), RECOVERED by HOU-54-Z.Diles at JAX 49. 54-Z.Diles to JAX 49 for no gain (33-G.Jones). Jacksonville challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #2 at 04:25.)

   +14pp

   HOU