Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 13:11·BUF 22, NE 24

   3-S.Gostkowski kicks 65 yards from NE 30 to BUF 5. 21-C.Spiller for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q3 · 13:17·BUF 16, NE 23

   (13:17) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 81-R.Moss for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 81-Moss 14,604 career receiving yards, 5th all-time. NE 81-Moss 36th career game with 2+ TD receptions, 2nd all-time (Jerry Rice 44). NE 12-Brady 232nd career TD pass, ties Steve Young for 19th place all-time.

   +15pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 9:52·BUF 6, NE 7

   (9:52) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 19-B.Tate to NE 34 for 14 yards (29-D.Florence). FUMBLES (29-D.Florence), RECOVERED by BUF-31-J.Byrd at NE 37. 31-J.Byrd to NE 37 for no gain (81-R.Moss).

   +14pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q4 · 15:00·BUF 23, NE 31

   (15:00) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle intended for 11-R.Parrish INTERCEPTED by 25-P.Chung [96-J.Cunningham] at NE -1. 25-P.Chung to NE 25 for 26 yards (67-A.Levitre).

   +13pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q3 · 8:47·BUF 23, NE 24

   (8:47) 9-R.Lindell 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

   +12pp

   NWE