Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 13:58·BUF 3, NE 13

   (13:58) (Shotgun) 16-M.Cassel sacked at BUF 44 for -8 yards (sack split by 99-M.Stroud and 37-G.Wilson). FUMBLES (99-M.Stroud), RECOVERED by BUF-37-G.Wilson at BUF 44. 37-G.Wilson to BUF 44 for no gain (16-M.Cassel).

   +8pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 0:21·BUF 0, NE 7

   (:21) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass deep middle intended for 83-L.Evans INTERCEPTED by 27-E.Hobbs at BUF 38. 27-E.Hobbs to BUF 34 for 4 yards (83-L.Evans).

   +7pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:24·BUF 3, NE 10

   (2:24) 3-S.Gostkowski 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-66-L.Paxton, Holder-6-C.Hanson.

   +7pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 0:45·BUF 3, NE 13

   (:45) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass deep right intended for 84-R.Royal INTERCEPTED by 21-D.O'Neal at NE 39. 21-D.O'Neal to NE 41 for 2 yards (84-R.Royal).

   +6pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q1 · 14:20·BUF 0, NE 0

   (14:20) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards sacked at BUF 21 for -6 yards (93-R.Seymour).

   +6pp

   NWE