Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 3:38·BUF 13, NE 7

   (3:38) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 34-S.Morris INTERCEPTED by 94-A.Schobel [95-K.Williams] at NE 26. 94-A.Schobel for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +26pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:06·BUF 24, NE 19

   3-S.Gostkowski kicks 72 yards from NE 30 to BUF -2. 28-L.McKelvin to BUF 31 for 33 yards (58-P.Woods). FUMBLES (58-P.Woods), RECOVERED by NE-3-S.Gostkowski at BUF 31. 3-S.Gostkowski to BUF 31 for no gain (21-J.Wendling).

   +25pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:01·BUF 24, NE 25

   (:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass deep right to 80-D.Schouman to NE 47 for 23 yards. Lateral to 11-R.Parrish to NE 43 for 4 yards. Lateral to 22-F.Jackson to NE 34 for 9 yards. FUMBLES, recovered by BUF-11-R.Parrish at NE 40. 11-R.Parrish to NE 44 for -4 yards (23-L.Bodden).

   +20pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:55·BUF 24, NE 25

   (:55) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 84-B.Watson for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +19pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 10:29·BUF 17, NE 13

   (10:29) 5-T.Edwards pass short right to 22-F.Jackson pushed ob at NE 49 for 18 yards (36-J.Sanders).

   +11pp

   BUF