Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·NE 35, BUF 7

   End of half - 9:58 pm

   +99pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:04·NE 35, BUF 7

   (:04) 7-J.Losman pass incomplete short middle to 17-J.Jenkins (81-R.Moss). Receiver and coverage at goal line.

   +99pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 13:01·NE 0, BUF 0

   (13:01) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass deep middle intended for 82-J.Reed INTERCEPTED by 21-R.Gay at BUF 48. 21-R.Gay pushed ob at BUF 27 for 21 yards (68-L.Walker). Pass thrown wide of receiver. PENALTY on BUF-68-L.Walker, Unnecessary Roughness, 14 yards, enforced at BUF 27.

   +12pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 3:46·NE 14, BUF 6

   (3:46) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass deep left to 11-R.Parrish for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught on run in coverage along sideline at goal line.

   +9pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:12·NE 13, BUF 0

   (8:12) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 81-R.Moss for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at goal line, backing into end zone.

   +9pp

   NWE