Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·NE 3, BUF 0

   End of half - 2:12 pm

   +16pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q3 · 10:45·NE 3, BUF 0

   (10:45) 5-T.Edwards sacked at BUF 43 for -6 yards (97-J.Green). FUMBLES (97-J.Green), RECOVERED by NE-50-M.Vrabel at BUF 43.

   +12pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:00·NE 3, BUF 0

   (2:00) 22-F.Jackson up the middle pushed ob at NE 37 for 32 yards (24-J.Wilhite). F.Jackson cut back to right after crossing line.

   +11pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:22·NE 3, BUF 0

   (:22) 22-F.Jackson up the middle to NE 9 for 3 yards (94-T.Warren).

   +10pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 7:37·NE 3, BUF 0

   (7:37) 16-M.Cassel right tackle to BUF 19 for 6 yards (43-B.Scott). Bootleg.

   +10pp

   NWE