Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·NE 14, BUF 3

   End of half - 2:19 pm

   +69pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:03·NE 14, BUF 3

   (:03) 9-R.Lindell 56 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

   +65pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q2 · 12:52·NE 0, BUF 3

   (12:52) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep middle to 81-R.Moss (20-D.Whitner). Ball fell at goal line. PENALTY on BUF-20-D.Whitner, Defensive Pass Interference, 43 yards, enforced at BUF 46 - No Play.

   +11pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:46·NE 0, BUF 3

   (2:46) 12-T.Brady pass short middle intended for 83-W.Welker INTERCEPTED by 51-P.Posluszny [94-A.Schobel] at BUF 39. 51-P.Posluszny to BUF 39 for no gain (83-W.Welker).

   +11pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 12:39·NE 6, BUF 3

   (12:39) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 81-R.Moss for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN [43-B.Scott]. Caught in rear of end zone.

   +9pp

   NWE