Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 9:14·BUF 7, NE 3

   (9:14) 12-T.Brady up the middle to BUF 1 for 2 yards (97-J.McCargo). FUMBLES (97-J.McCargo), RECOVERED by BUF-97-J.McCargo at BUF 1. New England challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. (Timeout #1 at 09:07.)

   +16pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 13:55·BUF 0, NE 0

   (13:55) 7-J.Losman sacked at BUF 35 for -9 yards (27-E.Hobbs). FUMBLES (27-E.Hobbs), RECOVERED by NE-97-J.Green at BUF 35.

   +15pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 6:47·BUF 0, NE 3

   (6:47) (Shotgun) 5-T.Edwards pass short middle to 11-R.Parrish to NE 43 for 13 yards (21-R.Gay).

   +10pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 14:26·BUF 7, NE 3

   (14:26) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 33-K.Faulk to BUF 23 for 6 yards (55-A.Crowell, 98-L.Tripplett).

   +9pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 2:50·BUF 6, NE 3

   (2:50) 23-M.Lynch left guard for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   BUF