Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 9:45·HOU 3, JAX 0

   (9:45) 28-F.Taylor up the middle pushed ob at HOU 14 for 76 yards (32-F.Bennett).

   +17pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:33·HOU 3, JAX 0

   (4:33) 8-M.Schaub pass short right to 11-A.Davis for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play Challenged by JAX and REVERSED. 8-M.Schaub pass short right to 11-A.Davis to JAX 1 for 9 yards (26-S.Knight). FUMBLES (26-S.Knight), ball out of bounds in End Zone, Touchback.

   +16pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:23·HOU 0, JAX 0

   (14:23) 8-M.Schaub pass deep right to 83-K.Walter to JAX 28 for 46 yards (26-S.Knight).

   +14pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q2 · 12:00·HOU 3, JAX 0

   (12:00) 9-D.Garrard pass short right to 11-R.Williams to JAX 38 for 12 yards (24-C.Brown). FUMBLES (24-C.Brown), RECOVERED by HOU-38-D.Faggins at JAX 40. 38-D.Faggins to JAX 40 for no gain (86-D.Northcutt).

   +12pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:51·HOU 6, JAX 7

   1-J.Carney kicks onside 11 yards from JAX 30 to JAX 41. RECOVERED by JAX-1-J.Carney.

   +11pp

   JAX