Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 5:03·NE 7, BUF 0

   (5:03) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass short right to 21-W.McGahee to NE 17 for 56 yards (26-E.Wilson). Shovel pass, caught at BUF 25.

   +13pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:13·NE 14, BUF 3

   (10:13) 7-J.Losman sacked at NE 47 for -6 yards (50-M.Vrabel). FUMBLES (50-M.Vrabel), RECOVERED by NE-75-V.Wilfork at NE 48. 75-V.Wilfork to NE 48 for no gain (62-A.Merz).

   +12pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 2:24·NE 7, BUF 3

   9-R.Lindell kicks 65 yards from BUF 30 to NE 5. 39-L.Maroney to BUF 21 for 74 yards (33-J.Greer). Play Challenged by BUF and Upheld. (Timeout #2 by BUF.)

   +12pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 9:13·NE 0, BUF 0

   (9:13) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 80-T.Brown to BUF 8 for 9 yards (59-L.Fletcher-Baker). Caught at BUF 9.

   +7pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 2:00·NE 14, BUF 3

   (2:00) 7-J.Losman pass short left intended for 83-L.Evans INTERCEPTED by 22-A.Samuel at NE 13. 22-A.Samuel pushed ob at NE 18 for 5 yards (83-L.Evans). Receiver and coverage along sideline.

   +6pp

   NWE