Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 14:55·BUF 6, NE 0

   (14:55) 12-T.Brady sacked at NE 11 for -10 yards (51-T.Spikes). FUMBLES (51-T.Spikes), RECOVERED by BUF-59-L.Fletcher-Baker at NE 5. 59-L.Fletcher-Baker for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +22pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 8:26·BUF 17, NE 19

   (8:26) 12-T.Brady pass deep left intended for 84-B.Watson INTERCEPTED by 20-D.Whitner at BUF 44. 20-D.Whitner to NE 46 for 10 yards. PENALTY on BUF-22-N.Clements, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at NE 46.

   +19pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 6:28·BUF 17, NE 19

   (6:28) 7-J.Losman sacked at BUF 46 for -6 yards (93-R.Seymour).

   +12pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q3 · 2:56·BUF 17, NE 13

   (2:56) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 33-K.Faulk for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE-33-K.Faulk was injured during the play.

   +11pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q1 · 7:40·BUF 7, NE 7

   (7:40) (Shotgun) 7-J.Losman pass short right to 82-J.Reed to NE 37 for 14 yards (26-E.Wilson, 25-A.Hawkins) [59-R.Colvin].

   +9pp

   BUF