Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:14·NE 38, IND 34

   (:14) 32-E.James up the middle to NE 2 for -1 yards (55-W.McGinest).

   +41pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 3:53·NE 38, IND 31

   (3:53) 33-K.Faulk up the middle to NE 10 for -2 yards (53-M.Washington). FUMBLES (53-M.Washington), RECOVERED by IND-79-R.Brock at NE 11. 79-R.Brock to NE 11 for no gain (67-D.Koppen).

   +27pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q4 · 8:41·NE 37, IND 31

   (8:41) 12-T.Brady pass to 83-D.Branch for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +24pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 10:26·NE 31, IND 30

   (10:26) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass to 86-T.Walters for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:12·NE 23, IND 10

   13-M.Vanderjagt kicks 62 yards from IND 30 to NE 8. 81-B.Johnson for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on IND-13-M.Vanderjagt, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, declined. Play Challenged by Review Assistant and Upheld.

   +16pp

   NWE