Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals, Week 4 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:56·JAX 22, CIN 17

   (:56) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle to 30-C.Brown to JAX 12 for 9 yards (25-R.Lane).

   +26pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q4 · 14:16·JAX 16, CIN 10

   (14:16) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short right intended for 82-M.Tinsley INTERCEPTED by 23-F.Oluokun at JAX 10. 23-F.Oluokun to JAX 15 for 5 yards (82-M.Tinsley).

   +22pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:00·JAX 6, CIN 3

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow pass short middle intended for 81-D.Meyers INTERCEPTED by 2-J.Lewis [41-J.Hines-Allen] at JAX 37. 2-J.Lewis ran ob at CIN 18 for 45 yards (30-C.Brown).

   +17pp

   JAX
4. 4