Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills, Week 2 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:49·DET 0, BUF 13

   (3:49) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep middle to 5-J.Palmer for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN [50-S.Gill-Howard].

   +9pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 11:48·DET 0, BUF 0

   (11:48) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right tackle ran ob at DET 38 for 12 yards (55-D.Barnes).

   +7pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:54·DET 0, BUF 0

   (12:54) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right end ran ob at BUF 44 for 13 yards (45-D.White). PENALTY on DET-4-D.Reed, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 44.

   +6pp

   BUF