Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 8:40·JAX 17, CIN 10

   (8:40) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short right intended for 83-T.Boyd INTERCEPTED by 44-M.Jack at JAX 10. 44-M.Jack to JAX 24 for 14 yards. 44-M.Jack pass short left to 36-R.Harrison to CIN 48 for 28 yards. PENALTY on JAX-44-M.Jack, Illegal Forward Pass, 5 yards, enforced at JAX 24.

   +22pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 10:42·JAX 0, CIN 0

   (10:42) 27-L.Fournette right guard to CIN 1 for no gain (52-P.Brown; 59-N.Vigil).

   +14pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:25·JAX 23, CIN 10

   (4:25) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short left intended for 25-G.Bernard INTERCEPTED by 91-Y.Ngakoue [90-T.Bryan] at CIN 23. 91-Y.Ngakoue for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 15:00·JAX 9, CIN 10

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass short middle to 18-C.Conley to CIN 8 for 47 yards (30-J.Bates III; 57-G.Pratt).

   +13pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:28·JAX 0, CIN 0

   (9:28) 28-J.Mixon left end to CIN 7 for -3 yards (93-C.Campbell).

   +12pp

   JAX