New York Jets at Detroit Lions, Week 3 2026

Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 4:11·NYJ 22, DET 24

   (4:11) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 5-G.Wilson to DET 1 for 22 yards (4-D.Reed). Penalty on DET-4-D.Reed, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. New York Jets challenged the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 5-G.Wilson for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on DET-4-D.Reed, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +20pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:30·NYJ 24, DET 30

   (2:30) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 0-J.Gibbs for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   DET
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:06·NYJ 24, DET 24

   (4:06) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 18-I.TeSlaa to NYJ 16 for 49 yards (8-A.Cisco).

   +15pp

   DET
4. 4