Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:14·DET 12, BUF 14

   (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 14-Sh.Hill pass to 84-B.Pettigrew is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS. Overthrown, receiver in back of end zone.

   +19pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:19·DET 12, BUF 14

   (:19) (Shotgun) 14-Sh.Hill pass deep middle to 81-C.Johnson for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at goal line.

   +18pp

   DET
3. 3
   Q1 · 0:24·DET 0, BUF 0

   (:24) (Shotgun) 14-Sh.Hill pass short left intended for 85-T.Scheffler INTERCEPTED by 98-D.Edwards (20-D.Whitner) at BUF 35. 98-D.Edwards to BUF 43 for 8 yards (85-T.Scheffler). Pass tipped by D.Whitner before INT. Receiver underthrown.

   +16pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 14:22·DET 0, BUF 0

   (14:22) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep right to 83-L.Evans pushed ob at DET 7 for 43 yards (23-C.Houston). Caught along sideline at DET 15.

   +11pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 3:39·DET 0, BUF 0

   (3:39) 22-F.Jackson right guard to DET 14 for -2 yards (58-A.Palmer). FUMBLES (58-A.Palmer), and recovers at DET 14.

   +10pp

   DET