Back Judge
Courtney Brown
Scoring
How high or low his games runSlight Under lean: games trend a bit lower-scoring than the market expects.
⚠ Only 16 priced games. Interpret cautiously.
% Games Over the Total
44%
-5.0ppleague 49% · 16 priced games
Avg Total Points
43.3
-2.3league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesMild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.
⚠ Only 16 spread-priced games.
Favorites Cover %
44%
-5.0ppleague 49% · 16 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
44%
-4.9ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameLower pace: fewer total snaps than the average game. Flags hit the home team noticeably more.
⚠ Only 16 games with box stats.
Penalties / Game
13.0
+0.3league 12.7 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
117.3
-4.3league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
103
-4.0league 107
Penalties: home vs road
Home team gets flagged 1.9 more times than the road team (vs league -0.3).
Recent Games Worked
- Sep 13, 2026ARI@LAC26–14Spread LAC -8.5Total 47.5Penalties 15 (175 yd)40dogunder15 (175 yd)
- Jan 4, 2026NOR@ATL17–19Spread ATL -4.5Total 43Penalties 11 (82 yd)36dogunder11 (82 yd)
- Dec 28, 2025PHI@BUF13–12Spread BUF -3Total 45Penalties 7 (76 yd)25dogunder7 (76 yd)
- Dec 22, 2025SFO@IND48–27Spread SFO -4Total 46.5Penalties 8 (81 yd)75favover8 (81 yd)
- Dec 14, 2025CLE@CHI3–31Spread CHI -7.5Total 38Penalties 10 (46 yd)34favunder10 (46 yd)
- Dec 7, 2025LAR@ARI45–17Spread LAR -9.5Total 48.5Penalties 12 (72 yd)62favover12 (72 yd)
- Nov 30, 2025LVR@LAC14–31Spread LAC -10Total 40.5Penalties 8 (77 yd)45favover8 (77 yd)
- Nov 23, 2025SEA@TEN30–24Spread SEA -12Total 40.5Penalties 21 (132 yd)54dogover21 (132 yd)
- Nov 9, 2025BUF@MIA13–30Spread BUF -8Total 50Penalties 11 (102 yd)43dogunder11 (102 yd)
- Oct 26, 2025TAM@NOR23–3Spread TAM -3.5Total 46Penalties 12 (65 yd)26favunder12 (65 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.