Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 13:11·JAX 17, DEN 16

   (13:11) (Shotgun) 12-R.Harvey right tackle for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q2 · 12:51·JAX 7, DEN 6

   (12:51) (Shotgun) 10-B.Nix pass short right to 14-C.Sutton for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 9:55·JAX 17, DEN 17

   (9:55) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short left to 11-P.Washington ran ob at DEN 24 for 20 yards (6-P.Locke).

   +14pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:44·JAX 0, DEN 0

   (2:44) (Shotgun) PENALTY on DEN-6-P.Locke, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at DEN 44 - No Play. Penalty on JAX-80-Q.Morris, False Start, superseded.

   +12pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 5:15·JAX 0, DEN 0

   (5:15) 3-W.Lutz 44 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-48-M.Fraboni, Holder-16-J.Crawshaw. ** Injury Update: JAX-6-G.Newsome has returned to the game.

   +11pp

   JAX