Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:48·JAX 12, DEN 14

   (:48) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left intended for 83-W.Welker INTERCEPTED by 51-P.Posluszny at JAX 41. 51-P.Posluszny for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q3 · 7:14·JAX 19, DEN 21

   (7:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep right to 88-D.Thomas to JAX 37 for 42 yards (24-W.Blackmon).

   +8pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 11:37·JAX 19, DEN 28

   (11:37) 7-C.Henne pass short left intended for 14-J.Blackmon INTERCEPTED by 36-K.Webster (90-S.Phillips) at DEN 49. 36-K.Webster to JAX 41 for 10 yards (65-W.Rackley).

   +8pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q2 · 8:08·JAX 3, DEN 14

   (8:08) (No Huddle) 18-P.Manning FUMBLES (Aborted) at DEN 40, RECOVERED by JAX-99-S.Marks at DEN 40. 99-S.Marks to DEN 40 for no gain (75-C.Clark).

   +7pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 14:17·JAX 0, DEN 0

   (14:17) (Punt formation) 45-W.Ta'ufo'ou up the middle to JAX 27 for 1 yard (96-M.Unrein).

   +7pp

   DEN