Down Judge· also: Alternate 106
Patrick Holt
Scoring
How high or low his games runHis games go Under the total notably more than league average.
% Games Over the Total
40%
-9.1ppleague 49% · 48 priced games
Avg Total Points
43.8
-1.8league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesMild lean visible in spread outcomes: interesting context, not a green-light edge.
Favorites Cover %
50%
+1.1ppleague 49% · 48 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
52%
+3.3ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameAverage penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.
Penalties / Game
13.1
+0.5league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
120.4
-1.2league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
107
+1.0league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.
Recent Games Worked
- Jan 4, 2026WAS@PHI24–17Spread PHI -3.5Total 39.5Penalties 13 (142 yd)41dogover13 (142 yd)
- Dec 21, 2025JAX@DEN34–20Spread DEN -3.5Total 47Penalties 8 (81 yd)54dogover8 (81 yd)
- Dec 14, 2025LAC@KAN16–13Spread KAN -6Total 41.5Penalties 14 (114 yd)29dogunder14 (114 yd)
- Dec 4, 2025DAL@DET30–44Spread DET -3.5Total 55.5Penalties 15 (126 yd)74favover15 (126 yd)
- Nov 30, 2025ATL@NYJ24–27Spread ATL -3Total 38.5Penalties 10 (86 yd)51dogover10 (86 yd)
- Nov 23, 2025CLE@LVR24–10Spread LVR -4Total 36Penalties 21 (186 yd)34dogunder21 (186 yd)
- Nov 16, 2025HOU@TEN16–13Spread HOU -5Total 37Penalties 14 (115 yd)29dogunder14 (115 yd)
- Nov 9, 2025BAL@MIN27–19Spread BAL -4.5Total 49Penalties 18 (164 yd)46favunder18 (164 yd)
- Oct 26, 2025GNB@PIT35–25Spread GNB -2.5Total 46Penalties 11 (112 yd)60favover11 (112 yd)
- Oct 19, 2025MIA@CLE6–31Spread CLE -2.5Total 34.5Penalties 16 (140 yd)37favover16 (140 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.