Umpire
Larry Smith
Scoring
How high or low his games runSlight Over lean: games trend a bit higher-scoring than the market expects.
⚠ Only 17 priced games. Interpret cautiously.
% Games Over the Total
53%
+4.2ppleague 49% · 17 priced games
Avg Total Points
46.5
+0.9league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesUnderdogs cover well above the league rate in his games.
⚠ Only 17 spread-priced games.
Favorites Cover %
41%
-7.6ppleague 49% · 17 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
41%
-7.5ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameWhistle-heavy crew: penalty rate runs well above league average. Flags hit the home team noticeably more.
⚠ Only 17 games with box stats.
Penalties / Game
14.5
+1.8league 12.7 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
118.0
-3.6league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
124
+17league 107
Penalties: home vs road
Home team gets flagged 1.2 more times than the road team (vs league -0.3).
Recent Games Worked
- Sep 13, 2026GNB@MIN22–39Spread MIN -1.5Total 46.5Penalties 15 (113 yd)61favover15 (113 yd)
- Jan 4, 2026WAS@PHI24–17Spread PHI -3.5Total 39.5Penalties 13 (142 yd)41dogover13 (142 yd)
- Dec 21, 2025JAX@DEN34–20Spread DEN -3.5Total 47Penalties 8 (81 yd)54dogover8 (81 yd)
- Dec 14, 2025LAC@KAN16–13Spread KAN -6Total 41.5Penalties 14 (114 yd)29dogunder14 (114 yd)
- Dec 4, 2025DAL@DET30–44Spread DET -3.5Total 55.5Penalties 15 (126 yd)74favover15 (126 yd)
- Nov 30, 2025ATL@NYJ24–27Spread ATL -3Total 38.5Penalties 10 (86 yd)51dogover10 (86 yd)
- Nov 23, 2025CLE@LVR24–10Spread LVR -4Total 36Penalties 21 (186 yd)34dogunder21 (186 yd)
- Nov 16, 2025HOU@TEN16–13Spread HOU -5Total 37Penalties 14 (115 yd)29dogunder14 (115 yd)
- Nov 9, 2025BAL@MIN27–19Spread BAL -4.5Total 49Penalties 18 (164 yd)46favunder18 (164 yd)
- Oct 26, 2025GNB@PIT35–25Spread GNB -2.5Total 46Penalties 11 (112 yd)60favover11 (112 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.