Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:25·JAX 0, TEN 3

   (3:25) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 3-J.Meyers to TEN 6 for 50 yards (33-C.Gray).

   +14pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:04·JAX 7, TEN 3

   39-C.Little kicks 52 yards from JAX 35 to TEN 13. 17-C.Dike to TEN 38 for 25 yards (80-Q.Morris). Jacksonville challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 39-C.Little kicks 52 yards from JAX 35 to TEN 13. 17-C.Dike to TEN 38 for 25 yards (80-Q.Morris, 36-L.Allen). FUMBLES (36-L.Allen), RECOVERED by JAX-36-L.Allen at TEN 35.

   +12pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q2 · 0:25·JAX 15, TEN 3

   (:25) 1-C.Ward pass incomplete short right to 20-T.Pollard [41-J.Hines-Allen].

   +8pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q1 · 4:09·JAX 0, TEN 3

   (4:09) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep left to 11-P.Washington to JAX 44 for 26 yards (23-K.Winston; 26-M.Harris).

   +7pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q2 · 15:00·JAX 13, TEN 3

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass deep middle to 85-B.Strange for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   JAX