Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 7:34·KC 10, BUF 7

   (7:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 86-D.Kincaid pushed ob at KC 8 for 47 yards (20-N.Williams; 22-T.McDuffie).

   +16pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 4:15·KC 10, BUF 14

   (4:15) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete short right to 4-R.Rice (24-C.Bishop).

   +8pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:05·KC 0, BUF 6

   (8:05) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep right to 86-D.Kincaid for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 7:53·KC 13, BUF 21

   (7:53) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep left to 87-T.Kelce to KC 40 for 28 yards (8-T.Bernard) [97-J.Bosa].

   +7pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:03·KC 21, BUF 28

   (:03) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass incomplete deep left [50-G.Rousseau].

   +7pp

   BUF