Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:27·KC 21, BUF 29

   (2:27) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen scrambles right tackle for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ** Injury Update: BUF-73-D.Dawkins has returned to the game.

   +14pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 12:59·KC 0, BUF 0

   (12:59) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 18-A.Cooper to KC 31 for 30 yards (13-N.Johnson). Caught near sideline at KC 39.

   +9pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 4:34·KC 21, BUF 23

   (4:34) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short middle to 10-K.Shakir to KC 34 for 10 yards (6-B.Cook). BUF-10-K.Shakir was injured during the play. K.Shakir walks off.

   +9pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q1 · 14:23·KC 0, BUF 0

   (14:23) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep right intended for 83-N.Gray INTERCEPTED by 9-T.Rapp [92-Da.Jones] at BUF 45. 9-T.Rapp to 50 for 5 yards (9-J.Smith-Schuster). PENALTY on BUF-57-A.Epenesa, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at 50.

   +8pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:38·KC 7, BUF 13

   (7:38) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short right intended for 88-D.Knox INTERCEPTED by 27-C.Conner at KC 31. 27-C.Conner to BUF 40 for 29 yards (74-R.Van Demark).

   +8pp

   KAN