Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 8:20·CAR 6, TB 7

   (8:20) (Shotgun) 9-B.Young pass deep left to 19-A.Thielen for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q1 · 4:12·CAR 7, TB 7

   (4:12) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle to 82-D.Culp to CAR 2 for 17 yards (25-X.Woods; 98-D.Wonnum).

   +8pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q1 · 6:09·CAR 7, TB 7

   (6:09) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 82-D.Culp pushed ob at CAR 22 for 26 yards (36-D.Richardson). Penalty on CAR-52-Dj.Johnson, Illegal Use of Hands, declined.

   +8pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q2 · 8:56·CAR 7, TB 13

   (8:56) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 7-B.Irving ran ob at CAR 1 for 42 yards (25-X.Woods).

   +8pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q1 · 12:24·CAR 0, TB 0

   (12:24) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep middle to 87-P.Durham to CAR 2 for 31 yards (36-D.Richardson; 25-X.Woods).

   +7pp

   TAM