Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 7:26·HOU 6, JAX 6

   (7:26) (Shotgun) PENALTY on JAX-44-T.Walker, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at HOU 47 - No Play. Penalty on JAX-44-T.Walker, Neutral Zone Infraction, declined.

   +18pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q3 · 10:12·HOU 6, JAX 6

   (10:12) 16-T.Lawrence pass short right intended for 7-Z.Jones INTERCEPTED by 24-D.Stingley at HOU -7. 24-D.Stingley to HOU 2 for 9 yards (16-T.Lawrence).

   +17pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:14·HOU 12, JAX 6

   (3:14) 31-D.Pierce up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q3 · 13:26·HOU 6, JAX 6

   (13:26) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass short middle to 11-M.Jones to HOU 29 for 17 yards (5-J.Pitre).

   +10pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 5:02·HOU 6, JAX 6

   (5:02) 31-D.Pierce up the middle to JAX 2 for 20 yards (91-D.Smoot, 5-A.Cisco).

   +9pp

   HOU