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Down Judgealso: Alternate 68

Tom Stephan

53 games3 seasons (20232025)Recent: Week 18, 2025

Scoring

How high or low his games run

His games go Over the total notably more than league average.

% Games Over the Total

55%

+6.6pp

league 49% · 48 priced games

Avg Total Points

46.1

+0.5

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Road teams cover well above the league rate: measurable road tilt.

Favorites Cover %

47%

-2.2pp

league 49% · 48 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

38%

-11pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.

Penalties / Game

11.5

-1.1

league 12.6 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

119.5

-2.1

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

94

-12

league 106

Penalties: home vs road

Home
5.7
Road
5.8

Flags split roughly evenly between home and road.

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.