Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:38·BAL 7, PIT 6

   (:38) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short left to 80-I.Likely to BAL 13 for 4 yards (6-P.Queen; 95-K.Benton). FUMBLES (6-P.Queen), touched at BAL 17, RECOVERED by PIT-6-P.Queen at BAL 19. 6-P.Queen to BAL 19 for no gain (65-P.Mekari). Penalty on PIT-39-M.Fitzpatrick, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, offsetting. Penalty on BAL-65-P.Mekari, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, offsetting.

   +18pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:06·BAL 16, PIT 18

   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 8-L.Jackson pass is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.

   +13pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:14·BAL 0, PIT 3

   (5:14) 9-J.Tucker 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-N.Moore, Holder-11-J.Stout.

   +12pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q1 · 3:12·BAL 0, PIT 3

   (3:12) 74-S.Anderson reported in as eligible. 22-N.Harris left tackle to PIT 46 for no gain (14-K.Hamilton).

   +10pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:48·BAL 0, PIT 3

   (6:48) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 80-I.Likely to PIT 33 for 42 yards (23-D.Kazee; 6-P.Queen).

   +10pp

   BAL