Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:23·BAL 10, PIT 14

   (1:23) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass deep right to 14-G.Pickens for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +28pp

   PIT
2. 2
   Q4 · 4:10·BAL 10, PIT 8

   (4:10) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short right intended for 3-O.Beckham INTERCEPTED by 24-J.Porter at PIT -4. Touchback.

   +26pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:12·BAL 10, PIT 14

   (1:12) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson sacked at BAL 35 for -9 yards (56-A.Highsmith). FUMBLES (56-A.Highsmith), RECOVERED by PIT-90-T.Watt at BAL 36. 90-T.Watt to BAL 18 for 18 yards (3-O.Beckham; 8-L.Jackson).

   +26pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q4 · 5:48·BAL 10, PIT 8

   (5:48) 11-J.Stout punts 50 yards to PIT 17, Center-69-T.Ott. 89-G.Olszewski to PIT 25 for 8 yards (48-J.Moon). FUMBLES (48-J.Moon), touched at PIT 25, RECOVERED by BAL-25-K.Seymour at PIT 27. 25-K.Seymour to PIT 7 for 20 yards. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds at PIT 5. Penalty on PIT-93-M.Robinson, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +21pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:09·BAL 10, PIT 8

   (2:09) (Shotgun) 8-K.Pickett pass deep left to 14-G.Pickens to BAL 42 for 21 yards (21-B.Stephens).

   +16pp

   PIT