Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 5:47·BAL 10, PIT 7

   (5:47) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle intended for 88-P.Freiermuth INTERCEPTED by 18-R.Smith at BAL 10. 18-R.Smith to BAL 29 for 19 yards (18-D.Johnson).

   +17pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:26·BAL 13, PIT 7

   (:26) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle intended for 88-P.Freiermuth INTERCEPTED by 6-P.Queen at BAL 8. 6-P.Queen to BAL 8 for no gain (30-J.Warren).

   +17pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:17·BAL 16, PIT 7

   (3:17) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left to 18-D.Johnson to BAL 38 for 37 yards (44-M.Humphrey). PENALTY on BAL-92-J.Madubuike, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 38.

   +10pp

   PIT
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:34·BAL 16, PIT 13

   (2:34) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass short middle to 88-P.Freiermuth for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q3 · 3:12·BAL 13, PIT 7

   (3:12) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep left intended for 18-D.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 32-M.Williams at BAL 1. 32-M.Williams to BAL 1 for no gain. The Replay Official reviewed the touchback ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +10pp

   BAL