Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 8:38·TEN 10, BUF 7

   (8:38) 11-M.Rudolph FUMBLES (Aborted) at TEN 43, touched at TEN 43, RECOVERED by BUF-43-T.Bernard at TEN 46.

   +15pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:01·TEN 10, BUF 7

   (:01) (Shotgun) 11-M.Rudolph pass short middle to 0-C.Ridley to BUF 13 for 33 yards [50-G.Rousseau]. Lateral to 10-D.Hopkins to BUF 19 for -6 yards (91-E.Oliver). FUMBLES (91-E.Oliver), touched at BUF 21, recovered by TEN-20-T.Pollard at BUF 21. 20-T.Pollard to BUF 21 for no gain (94-D.Smoot).

   +11pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q3 · 11:01·TEN 10, BUF 7

   (11:01) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass deep left to 86-D.Kincaid to TEN 12 for 17 yards (28-Q.Diggs).

   +11pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 10:28·TEN 10, BUF 13

   (10:28) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 18-A.Cooper for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught 8 yds. into end zone.

   +9pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 12:59·TEN 10, BUF 7

   (12:59) 20-T.Pollard up the middle to TEN 41 for -3 yards (90-D.Carter, 9-T.Rapp).

   +9pp

   BUF