Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 1:42·HOU 13, JAX 3

   15-M.Wright kicks 63 yards from JAX 35 to HOU 2. 24-T.Smith for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. JAX-2-R.Jenkins was injured during the play. He is Out.

   +16pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q4 · 13:30·HOU 23, JAX 13

   (13:30) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short left intended for 88-J.Akins INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Campbell at HOU 25. 32-T.Campbell to HOU 22 for 3 yards (88-J.Akins).

   +16pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q2 · 0:29·HOU 17, JAX 10

   (:29) (No Huddle) 16-T.Lawrence up the middle to HOU 38 for no gain (43-N.Hewitt; 92-C.Smith).

   +8pp

   HOU
4. 4
   Q1 · 6:46·HOU 6, JAX 0

   (6:46) 10-D.Mills pass short middle to 13-B.Cooks for 22 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:32·HOU 29, JAX 16

   (2:32) (Shotgun) 10-D.Mills pass short left to 13-B.Cooks for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   HOU