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Side Judgealso: Alternate 58

Don Willard

54 games3 seasons (20232025)Recent: Week 18, 2025

Scoring

How high or low his games run

His games go Over the total notably more than league average.

% Games Over the Total

63%

+15pp

league 49% · 49 priced games

Avg Total Points

46.3

+0.7

league 45.6 · both teams combined

Spread Outcomes

Who covers the line in his games

Road teams cover well above the league rate: measurable road tilt.

Favorites Cover %

49%

league 49% · 49 priced games

Home Teams Cover %

37%

-12pp

league 49% · home-vs-road tilt

Penalties & Pace

How the crew calls + paces the game

Average penalty + pace signals overall. Flags hit the home team noticeably more.

Penalties / Game

12.0

-0.6

league 12.6 · both teams combined

Plays / Game

119.3

-2.3

league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts

Penalty Yards / Game

96

-10

league 106

Penalties: home vs road

Home
6.4
Road
5.6

Home team gets flagged 1.2 more times than the road team (vs league -0.4).

Recent Games Worked

FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH

Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.