Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 1:06·SEA 0, DET 7

   (1:06) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 14-D.Metcalf to DET 34 for 14 yards (46-J.Campbell; 34-A.Anzalone). FUMBLES (46-J.Campbell), RECOVERED by DET-23-C.Davis at DET 37. 23-C.Davis pushed ob at SEA 14 for 49 yards (9-K.Walker).

   +17pp

   DET
2. 2
   Q3 · 3:03·SEA 20, DET 34

   (3:03) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 9-J.Williams for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on DET-9-J.Williams, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +8pp

   DET
3. 3
   Q1 · 13:35·SEA 0, DET 0

   (13:35) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at DET 17 for -14 yards (90-Ja.Reed).

   +6pp

   SEA
4. 4
   Q2 · 10:51·SEA 0, DET 14

   (10:51) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 14-D.Metcalf for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass deep right to 14-D.Metcalf to DET 1 for 29 yards (12-B.Joseph).

   +5pp

   SEA
5. 5
   Q1 · 2:28·SEA 0, DET 7

   (2:28) (Shotgun) 7-G.Smith pass short left to 11-J.Smith-Njigba pushed ob at SEA 41 for 9 yards (21-A.Robertson).

   +5pp

   SEA