Down Judge
Robert Richeson
Scoring
How high or low his games runSlight Over lean: games trend a bit higher-scoring than the market expects.
⚠ Only 12 priced games. Interpret cautiously.
% Games Over the Total
55%
+5.8ppleague 49% · 12 priced games
Avg Total Points
48.4
+2.8league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesFavorites cover well above the league rate in his games.
⚠ Only 12 spread-priced games.
Favorites Cover %
75%
+26ppleague 49% · 12 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
67%
+18ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameAverage penalty + pace signals overall. Flags hit the road team noticeably more.
⚠ Only 12 games with box stats.
Penalties / Game
13.8
+1.2league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
121.6
league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
112
+6.0league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Road team gets flagged 0.8 more times than the home team (vs league -0.4).
Recent Games Worked
- Jan 5, 2025JAX@IND23–26Spread IND -3.5Total 46Penalties 7 (72 yd)49dogover7 (72 yd)
- Dec 23, 2024NOR@GNB0–34Spread GNB -14Total 43.5Penalties 13 (100 yd)34favunder13 (100 yd)
- Dec 15, 2024MIA@HOU12–20Spread HOU -3Total 46.5Penalties 15 (134 yd)32favunder15 (134 yd)
- Dec 8, 2024ATL@MIN21–42Spread MIN -6Total 46.5Penalties 18 (162 yd)63favover18 (162 yd)
- Dec 1, 2024SFO@BUF10–35Spread BUF -6.5Total 45.5Penalties 7 (45 yd)45favunder7 (45 yd)
- Nov 17, 2024CLE@NOR14–35Spread CLE -1Total 44Penalties 8 (55 yd)49dogover8 (55 yd)
- Nov 10, 2024PHI@DAL34–6Spread PHI -7.5Total 44.5Penalties 12 (89 yd)40favunder12 (89 yd)
- Nov 3, 2024NWE@TEN17–20Spread TEN -3.5Total 38Penalties 18 (125 yd)37dogunder18 (125 yd)
- Oct 27, 2024CAR@DEN14–28Spread DEN -13.5Total 40.5Penalties 12 (92 yd)42favover12 (92 yd)
- Oct 21, 2024BAL@TAM41–31Spread BAL -4Total 51Penalties 17 (160 yd)72favover17 (160 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.