Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 4:41·MIA 10, BAL 14

   (4:41) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass deep left to 10-T.Hill ran ob at BAL 20 for 25 yards (23-R.Ya-Sin).

   +16pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q2 · 3:10·MIA 13, BAL 20

   (3:10) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 4-Z.Flowers for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:56·MIA 7, BAL 7

   (5:56) 28-D.Achane left end pushed ob at BAL 12 for 45 yards (32-M.Williams).

   +11pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:01·MIA 13, BAL 21

   (2:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa pass short left intended for 11-C.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 0-R.Smith at BAL 32. 0-R.Smith pushed ob at MIA 38 for 30 yards (66-L.Cotton).

   +10pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:21·MIA 10, BAL 7

   (7:21) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass deep right to 3-O.Beckham ran ob at MIA 1 for 33 yards. Miami challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1.)

   +8pp

   BAL