Down Judge
Brian Sakowski
Scoring
How high or low his games runScoring tracks the league baseline: no Over/Under tilt to play.
% Games Over the Total
50%
+1.3ppleague 49% · 48 priced games
Avg Total Points
44.8
-0.8league 45.6 · both teams combined
Spread Outcomes
Who covers the line in his gamesSpread outcomes match the league baseline: no actionable betting edge.
Favorites Cover %
49%
league 49% · 48 priced games
Home Teams Cover %
49%
+0.1ppleague 49% · home-vs-road tilt
Penalties & Pace
How the crew calls + paces the gameAverage penalty and pace signals: no tendency stands out.
Penalties / Game
11.4
-1.2league 12.6 · both teams combined
Plays / Game
119.4
-2.2league 121.6 · pass + rush attempts
Penalty Yards / Game
90
-16league 106
Penalties: home vs road
Home team gets flagged 0.8 more times than the road team (vs league -0.4).
Recent Games Worked
- Jan 4, 2026TEN@JAX7–41Spread JAX -13Total 45.5Penalties 9 (87 yd)48favover9 (87 yd)
- Dec 28, 2025TAM@MIA17–20Spread TAM -5.5Total 44Penalties 15 (122 yd)37dogunder15 (122 yd)
- Dec 21, 2025LVR@HOU21–23Spread HOU -14Total 39.5Penalties 13 (114 yd)44dogover13 (114 yd)
- Dec 14, 2025MIN@DAL34–26Spread DAL -5Total 47.5Penalties 10 (75 yd)60dogover10 (75 yd)
- Dec 8, 2025PHI@LAC19–22Spread PHI -1Total 42Penalties 13 (108 yd)41dogunder13 (108 yd)
- Nov 23, 2025JAX@ARI27–24Spread JAX -2.5Total 47.5Penalties 14 (113 yd)51favover14 (113 yd)
- Nov 16, 2025GNB@NYG27–20Spread GNB -7.5Total 41.5Penalties 11 (125 yd)47dogover11 (125 yd)
- Nov 9, 2025DET@WAS44–22Spread DET -8Total 48.5Penalties 11 (62 yd)66favover11 (62 yd)
- Oct 30, 2025BAL@MIA28–6Spread BAL -7.5Total 51Penalties 10 (101 yd)34favunder10 (101 yd)
- Oct 26, 2025NYJ@CIN39–38Spread CIN -5.5Total 44Penalties 6 (40 yd)77dogover6 (40 yd)
FAV covered · DOG covered · OVER hit · UNDER hit · PUSH
Source: nflverse officials release joined to games. Vegas-controlled signals use the betting market as matchup adjustment. Penalty + plays averages limited to 2012+ when per-team box data is available. Sample-size floor: 30 games.