Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:12·JAX 21, NYJ 26

   (:12) (Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence pass incomplete short right to 11-M.Jones (40-J.Guidry). Penalty on JAX, Illegal Shift, declined.

   +34pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:41·JAX 21, NYJ 26

   (:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-T.Lawrence scrambles left end ran ob at NYJ 5 for 26 yards (26-B.Echols).

   +26pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q3 · 7:15·JAX 12, NYJ 16

   (7:15) 16-T.Lawrence sacked at JAX 28 for -19 yards (57-C.Mosley). FUMBLES (57-C.Mosley) [57-C.Mosley], RECOVERED by NYJ-54-R.Blair at JAX 19. 54-R.Blair to JAX 13 for 6 yards (65-B.Linder).

   +20pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q2 · 13:08·JAX 9, NYJ 12

   9-L.Cooke kicks 67 yards from JAX 35 to NYJ -2. 10-B.Berrios for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +19pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q1 · 4:08·JAX 3, NYJ 6

   (4:08) (Shotgun) 2-Z.Wilson scrambles right end for 52 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   NYJ