Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 2:09·NYJ 7, JAX 6

   (2:09) 14-S.Darnold pass short left intended for 11-Ro.Anderson INTERCEPTED by 37-T.Herndon [41-J.Allen] at JAX 27. 37-T.Herndon to JAX 27 for no gain (11-Ro.Anderson).

   +18pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:24·NYJ 7, JAX 12

   (1:24) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass deep middle to 18-C.Conley for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q1 · 14:15·NYJ 0, JAX 0

   (14:15) 27-L.Fournette up the middle to NYJ 9 for 66 yards (33-J.Adams).

   +16pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 10:31·NYJ 7, JAX 13

   (10:31) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew II pass deep right to 17-D.Chark Jr. pushed ob at JAX 40 for 29 yards (34-B.Poole).

   +7pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 5:01·NYJ 6, JAX 6

   (5:01) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass short right to 84-R.Griffin for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   NYJ