Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 5:29·JAX 16, NYJ 21

   (5:29) 5-B.Bortles sacked at NYJ 23 for -3 yards (97-C.Pace). FUMBLES (97-C.Pace) [97-C.Pace], RECOVERED by NYJ-97-C.Pace at NYJ 34. 97-C.Pace to NYJ 34 for no gain (78-J.Parnell).

   +23pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q4 · 6:29·JAX 16, NYJ 21

   (6:29) (Shotgun) 24-T.Yeldon right end to NYJ 10 for 45 yards (21-M.Gilchrist).

   +21pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:14·JAX 3, NYJ 0

   (7:14) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 30-Z.Stacy to JAX 37 for 16 yards (50-T.Smith).

   +13pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:20·JAX 9, NYJ 14

   (:20) 5-B.Bortles pass deep right to 88-A.Hurns for 30 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q1 · 2:27·JAX 3, NYJ 7

   (2:27) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 87-E.Decker to JAX 10 for 15 yards (22-A.Colvin).

   +10pp

   NYJ