Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 2:20·JAX 20, NYJ 20

   (2:20) 4-L.Edwards punts 70 yards to JAX 5, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 11-M.Lee to JAX 10 for 5 yards (51-J.Stanford). PENALTY on JAX-17-A.Benn, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 2 yards, enforced at JAX 5.

   +66pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q5 · 1:50·JAX 20, NYJ 20

   (1:50) 3-B.Nortman punts 45 yards to JAX 47, Center-43-M.Overton. 14-J.Kerley ran ob at JAX 40 for 7 yards. NYJ-49-D.Donahue was injured during the play. PENALTY on JAX-51-P.Posluszny, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced at JAX 40.

   +29pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q5 · 8:25·JAX 20, NYJ 20

   (8:25) 3-B.Nortman punts 51 yards to NYJ 3, Center-43-M.Overton, downed by JAX-30-C.Grant.

   +28pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q5 · 5:19·JAX 20, NYJ 20

   (5:19) 3-B.Nortman punts 34 yards to NYJ 9, Center-43-M.Overton, fair catch by 14-J.Kerley.

   +26pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:22·JAX 17, NYJ 20

   (3:22) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass short left intended for 29-B.Powell INTERCEPTED by 21-A.Bouye at NYJ 35. 21-A.Bouye to NYJ 35 for no gain (29-B.Powell).

   +25pp

   JAX