Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 4:48·NYJ 0, JAX 0

   (4:48) 7-C.Henne pass short middle intended for 89-M.Lewis INTERCEPTED by 57-B.Scott [50-G.McIntyre] at NYJ 6. 57-B.Scott to NYJ 17 for 11 yards (68-G.Whimper).

   +15pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:47·NYJ 0, JAX 0

   (10:47) (Shotgun) 6-M.Sanchez sacked at JAX 44 for -8 yards (58-J.Babin). FUMBLES (58-J.Babin) [58-J.Babin], RECOVERED by JAX-58-J.Babin at JAX 43. 58-J.Babin to JAX 43 for no gain (6-M.Sanchez).

   +13pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q2 · 4:21·NYJ 0, JAX 3

   (4:21) 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 11-J.Kerley to JAX 42 for 7 yards (21-D.Cox). FUMBLES (21-D.Cox), RECOVERED by JAX-25-D.Lowery at JAX 38. 25-D.Lowery for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 6-M.Sanchez pass short left to 11-J.Kerley to JAX 42 for 7 yards (21-D.Cox). FUMBLES (21-D.Cox), RECOVERED by JAX-25-D.Lowery at JAX 39. 25-D.Lowery to JAX 39 for no gain (11-J.Kerley).

   +13pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:58·NYJ 17, JAX 10

   (:58) (Shotgun) 7-C.Henne pass deep middle to 16-J.Shipley to NYJ 43 for 28 yards (37-Y.Bell).

   +9pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:03·NYJ 0, JAX 3

   (:03) (Field Goal formation) 10-J.Scobee 55 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-19-B.Anger.

   +9pp

   NYJ