Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:30·JAX 12, HOU 13

   TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 27-L.Fournette rushes up the middle. ATTEMPT FAILS.

   +18pp

   HOU
2. 2
   Q4 · 13:06·JAX 3, HOU 6

   (13:06) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at JAX 13 for -7 yards (59-W.Mercilus). FUMBLES (59-W.Mercilus) [59-W.Mercilus], RECOVERED by HOU-99-J.Watt at JAX 11. 99-J.Watt to JAX 11 for no gain (76-W.Richardson).

   +14pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:52·JAX 6, HOU 13

   (:52) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew scrambles right end to HOU 13 for 18 yards (55-B.McKinney; 57-B.Scarlett).

   +12pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q3 · 5:07·JAX 3, HOU 6

   (5:07) 27-L.Fournette left guard to HOU 39 for 2 yards (41-Z.Cunningham). PENALTY on JAX-65-B.Linder, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at HOU 41 - No Play.

   +9pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q3 · 15:00·JAX 3, HOU 6

   (15:00) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins to HOU 34 for 14 yards (44-M.Jack).

   +8pp

   HOU