Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 0:07·TEN 13, NE 16

   (:07) 6-N.Folk 53 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.

   +12pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q2 · 6:05·TEN 6, NE 10

   (6:05) 14-R.Bullock 44 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-6-B.Kern.

   +12pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 0:48·TEN 12, NE 16

   (:48) (Shotgun) 40-D.Hilliard up the middle for 68 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q3 · 5:12·TEN 13, NE 25

   (5:12) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right to 84-K.Bourne for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:57·TEN 6, NE 13

   (1:57) 40-D.Hilliard left guard to NE 35 for 3 yards (92-D.Godchaux). FUMBLES (92-D.Godchaux), touched at NE 32, RECOVERED by NE-23-K.Dugger at NE 32. 23-K.Dugger to NE 32 for no gain (87-G.Swaim).

   +9pp

   NWE