Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 10:37·NE 0, TEN 0

   (10:37) (Shotgun) 10-J.Locker pass deep left to 85-N.Washington to NE 13 for 24 yards (24-K.Arrington).

   +11pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q1 · 3:30·NE 0, TEN 3

   (3:30) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 87-R.Gronkowski pushed ob at TEN 39 for 28 yards (32-R.Johnson).

   +10pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q2 · 11:16·NE 13, TEN 3

   (11:16) (Shotgun) 10-J.Locker sacked at TEN 1 for -6 yards (95-C.Jones). FUMBLES (95-C.Jones), RECOVERED by NE-54-D.Hightower at TEN 6. 54-D.Hightower for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:05·NE 6, TEN 3

   (2:05) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 81-A.Hernandez for 23 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 14:26·NE 7, TEN 3

   (14:26) 10-J.Locker pass deep left intended for 85-N.Washington INTERCEPTED by 27-T.Wilson (24-K.Arrington) at NE -3. Touchback.

   +8pp

   NWE