Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:59·TB 19, NE 17

   (:59) 6-N.Folk 56 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-49-J.Cardona, Holder-7-J.Bailey.

   +38pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q3 · 11:19·TB 6, NE 7

   (11:19) (Shotgun) 10-M.Jones pass short right to 42-J.Taylor to TB 28 for no gain (31-A.Winfield). FUMBLES (31-A.Winfield), RECOVERED by TB-5-R.Sherman at TB 28. 5-R.Sherman to TB 32 for 4 yards (42-J.Taylor).

   +17pp

   TAM
3. 3
   Q4 · 6:10·TB 16, NE 14

   (6:10) (No Huddle) 16-J.Meyers pass deep right to 15-N.Agholor pushed ob at TB 9 for 30 yards (5-R.Sherman) [9-J.Tryon]. flea flicker snap to NE 10-Jones, hand-off to NE 37-Harris, lateral to NE 16-Meyers

   +14pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:02·TB 19, NE 17

   (2:02) 3-R.Succop 48 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Tinker, Holder-8-B.Pinion.

   +12pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:43·TB 16, NE 17

   (3:43) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 13-M.Evans to NE 37 for 4 yards (27-J.Jackson). PENALTY on TB-13-M.Evans, Offensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, enforced at NE 41 - No Play.

   +11pp

   NWE